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2022年环境影响评价师辅导
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[推荐] 美国一海湾开发项目因模型出错导致结论被推翻

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发表于 2009-3-11 10:18 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
摘要:

美国陆军工程兵团以及其它政府研究人员发布了一份1500页的环评报告,这份报告历时5年,里面分析说明外来物种入侵的可能性极低。

但一个牡蛎养殖人员通过阅读该报告,发现其中存在重大数学模型错误,直接导致外来牡蛎入侵海外的可能性大大增加。。
不知环评人员此时的心情。。。


EIS Math Error May Underestimate Risk of Cheseapeake Oyster Introduction

March 04, 2009 -- The five-year review of oyster management options appears to have massively underestimated the likelihood that sterilized foreign oysters used in aquaculture would lead to the accidental introduction of breeding populations into the Bay.

Last October, the Army Corps of Engineers and the states of Maryland and Virginia released a 1,500-page Environmental Impact Statement that analyzed the risks and benefits of various oyster management alternatives aimed at restoring the ecological and economic role of oysters in the Bay.

Among the options analyzed was the potential for using nonnative C. ariakensis oysters, which have shown resistance to diseases that plague the Bay's native C. virginica oysters. One alternative called for large-scale aquaculture using sterilized nonnative oysters.

The EIS said the risk "appears to be small" that the sterile oysters would lead to the accidental introduction of reproductive nonnative oysters in the Chesapeake.

But a Maryland oyster gardener who reviewed the 1,500-page document discovered huge math errors in the EIS which, when corrected, suggested that an introduction of the foreign species would be inevitable from the large-scale aquaculture option. Read the full story to get the details.

评分

参与人数 1金币 +18 收起 理由
鹤无声 + 18 学习了

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发表于 2009-3-11 11:14 | 显示全部楼层
这才叫环评!5年那!
发表于 2009-3-11 12:10 | 显示全部楼层
而且还是公布全文???免费的么?
 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-11 12:48 | 显示全部楼层
公布的内容

EIS Cover (1.7 Mb)        
Alternate Download Site
Executive Summary (140 kb)        
Alternate Download Site
Table of Contents (60 kb)        
Alternate Download Site
Section 1
Purpose and Need for Action (260 kb)        
Alternate Download Site
Section 2
Description of the Proposed Action and Alternatives (80 kb)        
Alternate Download Site
Section 3
Affected Environment (920 kb)        
Alternate Download Site
Section 4
Environmental Consequences (2.8 Mb)        
Alternate Download Site
Section 5
Public Outreach, Agency Coordination, and Consultation (66kb)        
Alternate Download Site
Section 6
Refereneces (160 kb)        
Alternate Download Site
Section 7
List of Preparers (26 kb)        
Alternate Download Site
Section 8
Distribution List (24 kb)        
Alternate Download Site
Appendix A
Oyster Demographic Model (14.6 Mb)        
Alternate Download Site
Appendix B
Ecological Risk Assessment for Oyster Restoration Alternatives (3.9 Mb)        
Alternate Download Site
Appendix C
Development of Assessment Scenarios for Aquaculture Alternateives (4 and 5) (280 kb)        
Alternate Download Site
Appendix D
Economic Analysis (1.4 Mb)        
Alternate Download Site
Appendix E
Evaluation of Cultural and Socioeconomic Effects of Oyster Restoration Strategies for Chesapeake Bay. (1.2 Mb)        
Alternate Download Site
Appendix F
Cultural History of the Chesapeake Bay Region (97 kb)        
Alternate Download Site
Appendix G
Agency Coordination Summary (9.9 Mb)        
Alternate Download Site
Appendix H
Chesapeake Bay Environmental Modeling Package (2.7 Mb)
 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-11 12:49 | 显示全部楼层
 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-11 12:50 | 显示全部楼层
而且还是公布全文???免费的么?
cqueia 发表于 2009-3-11 12:10


可以去上面的链接下载了
 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-11 12:52 | 显示全部楼层
貌似伟大的防火墙不让我们下。。。
发表于 2009-3-16 11:13 | 显示全部楼层
很好,美国这方面有时很严谨啊
发表于 2009-4-17 09:44 | 显示全部楼层
恩,看美国人的东西有些时候不服不行……

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参与人数 1金币 +5 收起 理由
eiarookie + 5 是啊

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发表于 2009-4-27 21:07 | 显示全部楼层
很好的学学习机会。。。。
发表于 2009-5-6 11:30 | 显示全部楼层
( ⊙ o ⊙ )啊!还真是 下不了

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参与人数 1金币 +5 收起 理由
eiarookie + 5 嘿嘿,就不让你下

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发表于 2009-5-7 21:36 | 显示全部楼层
发表于 2009-5-8 11:17 | 显示全部楼层
7楼给的网址不对,可以试试直接输入后面的网址去下载
 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-8 15:45 | 显示全部楼层
7楼给的网址不对,可以试试直接输入后面的网址去下载
cqueia 发表于 2009-5-8 11:17


/www.nao.usace.army.mil/OysterEIS/EIS/homepage.asp

这个网址访问不了呢
发表于 2009-5-10 21:20 | 显示全部楼层
下得了呢,你地址是不是输入错了?除了附录不能下载,其余的章节基本都能下载啊
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